Truscott, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

750
FXUS64 KOUN 241820
AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
120 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 115 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
- Scattered light rain/isolated storms diminishing by this
   evening.
- Light patchy fog possible late tonight across southeast
   Oklahoma.
- Drier & cooler air mass will stay in place through Thursday.
- Warm again Friday into the weekend with above normal
   temperatures.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 115 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Our upper trough will continue to dig through tonight.  Some weak
forcing in the mid-levels of the trough could result in scattered
light rain diminishing by sundown.  Northern Oklahoma could also see
a few thunderstorms through afternoon heating although weak
instability should keep any convection well below severe as well as
fairly isolated.  Down at the surface we are post-frontal with
breezy north winds bringing in a cooler and drier air mass with
below normal temperatures.  Much cooler tonight under decreasing
cloudiness and lighter winds backing northwest. Temperatures will
fall into the 50s areawide with the coolest air (lower 50s) across
northwest Oklahoma. Low probability (20%) using DESI guidance for
patchy radiational fog developing across portions of east-central
through southeast Oklahoma toward mid-morning Thursday ending within
a few hours after sunrise.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 115 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Light north winds on Thursday as high pressure builds in with the
upper troughs axis now displaced to our east.  Will see CU
developing in the afternoon with temperatures perhaps slightly
warmer approaching seasonably normal (lower to mid 80s) for late
September days.  Cooler again Thursday night under clear skies and
calm winds with widespread 50s again for lows.  The pattern starts
to change on Friday becoming warmer with upper ridging starting to
build in from the west and a shift of south winds down at the
surface. Will see warm temperatures on Friday afternoon rising just
above normal.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Dry and seasonably warm weather will dominate the southern Plains
this weekend into at least early next week as upper ridging centers
itself overhead. Highs will approach 90 in some spots Saturday and
Sunday, dropping a few degrees Monday and Tuesday as models suggest
a backdoor front will try to work its way into the area.
Ware
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1133 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Scattered showers and maybe a storm or two will continue to be
possible across parts of northern OK this afternoon with the
chances ending by this evening. MVFR ceilings are expected to
gradually improve later this afternoon and evening. Breezy
northern winds will become light this evening as sfc high settles
into parts of the Southern Plains. These light winds are expected
to continue into the morning. There are some hints that some BR
could develop in a few places with KDUA having the most potential.
However, there is enough uncertainty right now that do not have a
mention in any TAFs right now.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  59  80  59  83 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         56  83  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  60  83  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           52  79  54  84 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     56  81  57  84 /  10   0   0   0
Durant OK         62  82  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...68
SHORT TERM...68
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...25

NWS OUN Office Area Forecast Discussion