Strange Creek, West Virginia Weather Forecast Discussion

617
FXUS61 KRLX 011722
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
122 PM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds in from the north, leading to a prolonged
period of dry and unseasonably warm weather. The next chance for
precipitation arrives early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1212 PM Wednesday...
High pressure continues to bring quiet and dry weather to the area
today. Temperatures will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s for
daytime highs. Patchy frost may develop overnight in the higher
elevations of Pocahontas and Randolph counties with clear skies
and dew points in the middle-to-upper 30s. However, southeast
winds 5-8 mph will likely be too breezy to prevent widespread
frost development.
Another dry and warm day is expected Thursday as an upper-level
ridge centers itself over the middle Ohio Valley. Temperatures will
remain above average. High pressure will continue with no rain in
the near-term forecast.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1212 PM Wednesday...
More of the same type of weather is expected Friday and Saturday
with temperatures in the upper 70s and lower 80s. An expansive upper-
level ridge will remain in control over much of the eastern half of
the country, providing dry weather and plenty of afternoon sun.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1212 PM Wednesday...
By Sunday, the center of upper-level high pressure will slide
slightly farther to the east. This will keep the warm and dry
weather going across the middle Ohio Valley and central
Appalachians, but the air may feel a bit warmer and more humid as a
southerly flow brings moisture back into the region. The next chance
of rain won`t be until at least Tuesday when a southern stream
system and an approaching cold front from the west bring showers and
perhaps a few thunderstorms.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 119 PM Wednesday...
VFR conditions will continue the rest of today. Once again,
patchy dense fog will develop across some of the terminals
early Thursday morning, with IFR and LIFR restrictions expected
in spots. Areas that will likely be impacted by the fog include
KCRW, KHTS, KPKB, and KEKN. Any fog that develops should
dissipate by 14Z Thursday with VFR conditions returning.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and location of fog restrictions
may vary Thursday morning.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY       17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04
EDT 1HRLY       13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
AFTER 18Z THURSDAY...
IFR is possible with river valley fog each morning through Sunday.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JMC
NEAR TERM...JMC
SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...JMC
AVIATION...JMC

NWS RLX Office Area Forecast Discussion