Springdale, Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

449
FXUS64 KTSA 291720
AFDTSA
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1220 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1220 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
- Mostly dry weather with above normal temperatures this week.
- Low chance for thunderstorms over portions of northeast Oklahoma
    Saturday evening.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Increasing high clouds are expected into the afternoon hours but
conditions will remain dry today. Temperatures will remain above
normal, with highs generally in the mid 80s. With the increased
cloud cover tonight, fog will be less of a concern. The increased
clouds will keep temperatures up a few degrees from this morning,
with lows in the upper 50s and lower 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Monday)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Upper level ridging will retreat eastwards slightly Tuesday as a
weak upper level low brushes the area from the west. The main impact
will be increased cloud cover Tuesday and potentially some virga
showers (rain falls but evaporates above the surface). High
temperatures may be held down slightly into the lower to mid 80s for
many locations.
High pressure will flex back into the area Wednesday through
Saturday, with a slow warming trend over this period. By Friday,
highs may approach 90 F in the warmest locations. Low temperatures
will also slowly rise, mostly into the 60s. Rain will be scarce
during this period, with the only chance being maybe a shower or
thunderstorm clipping portions of eastern Oklahoma Saturday night.
This would be in response to an upper level system brushing the area
to the west. Upper level ridging will then reamplify over the
weekend and into early next week with warm and dry weather
persisting. Breezy southerly winds may develop for this period.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
VFR conditions and light easterly winds expected through the
period with increasing mid to high cloud through tonight and into
the day tomorrow over the region. More patchy fog could be
possible tomorrow morning across NW AR sites, but increasing cloud
cover will likely limit coverage and thus have kept out of
mention in the TAFs for now.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   64  85  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   64  86  63  88 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   61  86  58  88 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   57  84  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   55  82  54  85 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   57  82  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   62  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   60  84  58  85 /   0   0   0   0
F10   61  84  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   64  85  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...04

NWS TSA Office Area Forecast Discussion