Shafter, Nevada Weather Forecast Discussion

422
FXUS65 KLKN 290742 AAA
AFDLKN
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated
National Weather Service Elko NV
1242 AM PDT Mon Sep 29 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1102 AM PDT Sun Sep 28 2025
* Expect an increase in clouds and increasing chances for light
  rain showers and isolated thunderstorms for this afternoon and
  evening.
* Stronger and wetter weather system will move into northern and
  central Nevada Monday, lasting through Tuesday.
* Unsettled weather may continue after mid-week but confidence
  remains low in the forecast at this time.
&&
.UPDATE... Issued at 1242 AM PDT Mon Sep 29 2025
No updates are needed for the current forecast as it remains on
track.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Sunday)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Increasing cloud coverage with
increasing chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms this
afternoon as remnants of a tropical storm pushes moisture back
into the silver state. The weather is expected to dissipate by the
evening, leaving calmer conditions overnight with lows in the 40s
to 50s.
Monday, a stronger and wetter weather system will move into
northern and central Nevada, expecting to last through Tuesday.
Chances for isolated rain showers range from 50-90% with the
highest chances across northern Nevada and along the I-80
corridor. The storm front will also bring in cooler temperatures
with highs in the 70s Monday, dropping into the 60s to low 70s by
Tuesday. Overnight lows remain in the 40s to 50s.
By mid-week, drier conditions return, giving a break to the
ongoing weather with a southwesterly flow and slightly warmer
temperatures but stay in the upper 60s to 70s. A low pressure
system off the northwest coast may bring additional light showers
across northern Nevada each afternoon. By the end of the week,
more unsettling weather may continue, however there is low
confidence on the strength and position of the system at this time.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Moderate to high confidence of
isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, lasting through
Tuesday. No changes have been made to the grids at this time.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected at all terminals, however isolated
thunderstorms this afternoon may bring MVFR or lower conditions at
the airports. VCTS and VCSH expected at all terminals this
afternoon with possible -SHRA/TSRA, with the exception of KENV.
Increasing cloud cover at all terminals ranging at FL080 and
FL110. Light winds generally from the south below 10 kts
expected, however gusty erratic winds may be present from passing
storms.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
No fire weather concerns noted at this time. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms this afternoon with 30-35% chance for wetting rains
across zones 427, 438, 469, 470, 425, and southern half of 424.
Zones 426 may see some wetting rains with a less than 20% chance
while much of zone 437 have less than 10% chance. Look for a
stronger and wetter system moving across all zones Monday, lasting
through Tuesday. Winds expected to be breezy from the oncoming
cold front, however min RH values expected to be well above
critical thresholds.
&&
.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...97
AVIATION...97
FIRE WEATHER...97

NWS LKN Office Area Forecast Discussion