Seven Points, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

434
FXUS64 KFWD 020539
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1239 AM CDT Thu Oct 2 2025
...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Quiet but warm weather continues into next week. Rain chances
  remain 10% or less.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Overnight through Friday Night/
Clear skies, light winds, and relatively warm conditions will
continue through Friday as mid level ridging remains in place
across the Southern Plains. A weak disturbance will dig southward
around the eastern periphery of the ridge on Friday and meander
across the northwest Gulf and coastal Louisiana into the weekend.
While this system likely won`t have any major impacts to our
weather, we`ll start to see an uptick in moisture across our
southeast counties and perhaps an isolated shower or two. Rain
chances will remain less than 10% through Friday night.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Saturday through Wednesday/
The upper disturbance across the northern Gulf will gradually
shift southwestward through the beginning of the week while
troughing becomes more pronounced across the western CONUS. This
will allow a better fetch of Gulf moisture northward into North
Texas through Tuesday. While large scale forcing for ascent will
be negligible, we`ll still see an increase in scattered afternoon
showers mainly across far east and southeast Texas and we`ll
include some low PoPs during peak heating. Otherwise, rain chances
will generally remain low to near zero through the first half of
next week while temperatures continue to top out in the upper 80s
and lower 90s. There is some indication that a weak front may try
to push southward into the region beyond Wednesday and could be
accompanied by a slight increase in rain chances. Until then, warm
and dry conditions will persist.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/6Z TAFs/
VFR will prevail through the period with east winds generally
5 to 7 kt. No significant aviation concerns are expected through
Thursday night.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    68  91  70  90  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                65  91  67  90  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               64  90  65  88  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Denton              63  90  65  90  62 /   5   5   0   0   0
McKinney            64  91  67  90  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              69  93  70  92  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             63  91  65  90  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           66  93  68  90  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              64  92  65  90  63 /   0   0   0   5   0
Mineral Wells       63  93  64  92  63 /   0   5   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion