955 FXUS63 KIND 281906 AFDINDArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 306 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry with above to well-above average temperatures this week.
- Patchy fog possible during the overnights.
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.DISCUSSION (Today through Saturday night)... Issued at 306 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Synoptically, the polar jet to our north is currently dominated by large-scale ridging while a weaker more amplified subtropical jet remains to our south. Strong ridging within the polar jet has allowed temperatures to climb to well-above average values, with temperatures in the mid to upper 80s this weekend. Continued above- average warmth is expected as we head into the new week. A slight cool down is possible as northeasterly surface winds develop tomorrow, but even so temps will still be above normal. The diurnal curve should be fairly steep throughout the week with conditions favoring strong solar insolation and ideal radiative cooling at night.
Short-wave troughs within the subtropical jet should largely pass to our south, which will help keep moisture from lifting northward. Strong high pressure at the surface, with the high center over the northeastern US, will remain the dominant surface feature. Given a lack of moisture and a largely subsident atmosphere, a very dry stretch of weather looks to continue through the week.
One of the short-wave troughs may provide us with some mid to high- level cloud cover Wednesday into Thursday, but that`s about it. This week may be about as quiet as a weather forecast can be. Additionally, our nightly patchy fog chances look to diminish as ground moisture from recent rains continues to evaporate. Any nightly fog should be very patchy in nature, shallow, and confined to near rivers and in open fields prone to evapotranspiration.
Normal highs/lows in the Indy metro area this week are 73/52.
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.AVIATION (18Z TAF Issuance)... Issued at 133 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Impacts:
- Brief MVFR/IFR conditions in fog possible at KHUF/KLAF/KBMG tonight
Discussion:
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period, with the exception of brief MVFR/IFR conditions at KHUF/KLAF/KBMG tonight with shallow fog once again developing.
Diurnal cumulus is expected both this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon. Winds will be light and variable to start before settling on a northeasterly direction tomorrow while remaining under 10kt.
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.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
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DISCUSSION...Eckhoff AVIATION...Eckhoff
NWS IND Office Area Forecast Discussion