Riddleton, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

772
FXUS64 KOHX 252325
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
625 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 616 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
- Low rain chances across the Plateau Friday and this weekend.
  Areas west remain dry with warming temperatures.
- Overall dry weather into early next week with temperatures
  remaining above-normal.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 616 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
No major changes to the forecast were made with this evening`s
update. A cold front is making its way through Middle TN this
evening with it currently just east of Nashville. Look for drier
conditions and a northerly wind shift once this front passes.
Patchy fog is expected overnight, particularly across the Plateau.
Drier conditions are then expected on Friday with just a low
chance for showers across the Plateau where atmospheric moisture
will still be favorable.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A positively-tilted trough is currently stretched from Texas through
the Great Lakes region and is making a slow eastward progression.
Some embedded vorticity maxima are evident on water vapor imagery
with one near the Missouri Bootheel. Meanwhile, we continue to
experience mostly cloudy skies here in Middle TN with the approach
of a surface front to our north. A few patches of light to moderate
rain showers are starting to appear as well. Overall, it appears
we`ll experience decreasing rain coverage and intensity today
compared to the past few days. PWs have fallen to ~1.5", down from
~2.0" yesterday. A scattering of rain showers are expected through
the afternoon with isolated thunderstorms should instability
increase enough. Either way, no severe weather or flooding is
anticipated today. Convection will gradually wane after sunset, and
we`ll likely have patchy fog east of I-65 tonight, with locally
dense fog possible in valleys up through the Cumberland Plateau.
The aforementioned vort max to our west is progged to separate from
the overall trough axis tomorrow, becoming a cut-off low that will
linger in the region for a couple of days. However, the surface
front will continue southeastward which will suppress moisture
favorable for rain showers to the Plateau region. Friday will be a
great weather day overall with highs in the low 80s for the rain-
free areas west of the Appalachians.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A relatively warm, dry weekend is shaping up for Middle Tennessee.
Outside of a few rain showers across the Plateau on Saturday, most
areas will dry out with afternoon temperatures in the low to mid
80s. The overall pattern should remain fairly quiet into next week
but with influence of a deep-layer ridge buidling to our west which
will favor warm, dry weather. This will result in above-normal
temperatures through at least Tuesday it appears. Otherwise the most
notable weather story will be tropical considerations across the
western Atlantic and Bahamas region next week.&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Isolated showers are continuing across Middle TN this evening, but
a cold front is also making its way east through the area. Expect
winds to become northwesterly to northerly behind it and shower
activity to come to an end. LIFR/IFR conditions expected tonight
at SRB and CSV due to low clouds and fog with MVFR conditions at
BNA and MQY. Conditions are expected to improve back to VFR
between 15Z and 18Z.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Isolated showers are continuing across Middle TN this evening, but
a cold front is also making its way east through the area. Expect
winds to become northwesterly to northerly behind it and shower
activity to come to an end. LIFR/IFR conditions expected tonight
at SRB and CSV due to low clouds and fog with MVFR conditions at
BNA and MQY. Conditions are expected to improve back to VFR
between 15Z and 18Z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      61  82  60  84 /  20  10   0  10
Clarksville    57  82  56  84 /  10   0   0   0
Crossville     60  75  57  75 /  20  40  10  30
Columbia       60  80  57  82 /  20  20   0  10
Cookeville     61  76  58  78 /  20  30  10  20
Jamestown      61  75  58  75 /  20  30  10  30
Lawrenceburg   60  78  57  81 /  30  20   0  10
Murfreesboro   61  80  58  82 /  20  20  10  10
Waverly        57  80  55  82 /  10   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
UPDATE.......Clements
SHORT TERM...Sizemore
LONG TERM....Sizemore
AVIATION.....Clements

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion