Pyriton, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

855
FXUS64 KBMX 270022
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
722 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 541 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2025
- Cooler through the weekend. Back to above normal temperatures
   Sunday through Tuesday.
 - Medium chance for areas of patchy dense fog across the east
   half of Central Alabama after midnight tonight through early
   morning.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1258 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2025
The cold front is currently located just south of the I-20 corridor,
and will slowly continue dropping south over the course of today.
Given the current location of the low, additional wrap around
showers and thunderstorm will be possible today, but those will be
mostly scattered in nature. Once the cold front moves through
tonight, and winds decouple, widespread fog will be possible into
Saturday morning. Patches of this fog may be quite dense, and the
need for a Dense Fog Advisory will certainly be examined once the
fog starts to form.
Otherwise, overnight lows will range in the upper-50`s to low-60`s,
with afternoon highs on Saturday ranging in the low to mid-80`s.
/44/
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1258 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2025
Most eyes remain on the long-term forecast, and what kind of
influence we could see locally from Invest 94L. Unfortunately, there
is still a lot of uncertainty regarding the future track, and
whether or not it will eventually start to drift west. As of this
morning, more than half of the "hurricane specific" models bring
Invest 94L ashore somewhere near South Carolina. These same runs in
guidance continue to push the remnants of the disturbance west,
sometime in the day 5 period of the forecast.
The current forecast remains dry due to the lack of overall
confidence, but that could quickly change in the next few days, as
guidance starts to paint a better picture. Invest 94L would also
effect the temperatures across the region, given the increased rain
and cloud cover. Until the trend starts to shift, highs will
generally range in the mid-80s, with lows ranging in the low to mid-
60s.
/44/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 715 PM CDT FRI SEP 26 2025
Will have the chance for a few SHRA/TSRA at MGM/AUO this evening.
Elsewhere, any activity would be too isolated to mention ATTM.
Lingering low level moisture will allow for some patchy fog to
develop as the night progresses. Conditions may start to
deteriorate between 7-9z. The best chances will be across the ERN
1/2 of AL with the lowest conditions expected at ASN/AUO where
some LIFR may occur. Conditions should improve to VFR ~13-15z.
Drier air will move in behind a front on Sat with NW-N winds
4-8kts during the afternoon with mixing
08
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
MinRH values will generally range in the 40-50% range through next
week, with little to no rain currently in the forecast. There is
still plenty of uncertainty, but widespread rain could return to the
forecast by Wednesday, depending on the track of Invest 94L. Until
guidance starts to get a better handle on this scenario, the
forecast will remain dry, with drought conditions remaining across
the region.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     61  84  61  86 /  10  20  10   0
Anniston    63  83  63  85 /  20  20  10   0
Birmingham  63  85  62  88 /  10  10   0   0
Tuscaloosa  63  87  62  89 /  10   0   0   0
Calera      63  86  62  89 /  20  10   0   0
Auburn      66  84  65  86 /  30  20  10   0
Montgomery  65  86  64  88 /  20  20  10   0
Troy        64  84  63  86 /  30  20  10   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM.../44/
LONG TERM..../44/
AVIATION...08

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion