174 FXUS63 KPAH 011119 AFDPAHArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 619 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry conditions expected through the weekend.
- Temps will remain above normal through mid week then come down slightly, but still above normal, late week.
- Weak PoPs (15-20%) return to the forecast Monday and Tuesday.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 223 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
No real changes to the going forecast, ridging aloft and at the sfc along with high pressure continues to dominate through the weekend. We will continue to be dry with above normal temperatures through the weekend. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s through late week, then come down slightly to the low to mid 80s over the weekend and into next week. Winds will continue to be out of the east and northeast until Friday when the sfc high moves over the Mid Atlantic and turns winds southerly. Moisture increases with this southerly flow and a subtle low aloft over the northern Gulf coast. This moisture brings back some weak (15-20%) PoPs on Monday and Tuesday. There is still a lot of uncertainty though around how much or how little rain is expected and how widespread showers may or may not be.
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.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 617 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Patchy fog is present again at CGI and will burn off with sunrise. Otherwise today will be more of the same with diurnal cu around 6-8k ft and possibly some passing high clouds. Winds are 5-10 kts out of the northeast. Winds will go calm again overnight with some scattered high clouds present and patchy fog again at CGI.
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.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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DISCUSSION...HICKFORD AVIATION...HICKFORD
NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion