812 FXUS65 KBOI 252009 AFDBOIArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 209 PM MDT Thu Sep 25 2025
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday night...Latest models bring a dry Pacific cold front across eastern OR tonight between 9 PM and midnight PDT, and western ID between midnight and 6 AM MDT. Clouds from the upper low in Calif will clip the CWA/NV border ahead of the approaching frontal band. Post-frontal winds will mix out the usual sunrise low-level inversion and low temps tonight should be several degrees warmer than last night. Friday should be 10 degrees cooler than today with brisk west/northwest winds 10-20 mph, and gusts as strong as 35 mph between Mountain Home and Gooding ID Friday morning. The entire system will move rapidly east out of our area Friday, and a flat upper ridge will come in Friday night through Saturday night. Saturday`s high temps will be 6-8 degrees warmer than Friday along with sunny skies and lighter wind.
.LONG TERM...Sunday through Thursday...Sunday will be the last day of warm and dry weather before a pattern change unfolds early next week. Temperatures will peak around 10 degrees above normal on Sunday as southwest flow strengthens ahead of a deepening trough. Monday will see temperatures cool 10-15 degrees from Sunday with increasing chances of precipitation as the trough advances to the coast. Models remain consistent in advancing the low pressure through the Pac NW Tue/Wed bringing widespread rainfall to SE Oregon and SW Idaho. The cooler air aloft will drop snow levels to around 8kft MSL by Wednesday morning and reduce high temperatures to 5-10 degrees below normal (lower 50s/mtns to mid 60s/valleys). Precipitable water amounts will reach the 90+ percentile and forecast water totals through Wednesday afternoon are pointing to 0.25-0.75" amounts at lower elevations with 0.75-1.5" amounts in the mtns. The forecast for Thursday still shows a drying trend, though the GFS has one more upper trough that could extend precipitation chances before upper ridging takes hold to end the week.
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.AVIATION...VFR. Dry cold front with scattered-broken mid- level clouds overnight into early Friday. Surface winds: E-SE 5-15 kt ahead of the front, becoming NW 10-20 kt with gusts to 30 kt after 05Z Friday. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: S-SE 5-15 kt, becoming NW 15-25 kt after 05Z Friday.
KBOI...VFR. Dry cold front to bring a wind shift around 09Z Friday. Surface winds: SE up to 10 kt, becoming WNW 10-20 kt around 09Z Friday.
Weekend Outlook...VFR through Sunday night high pressure builds in behind the dry cold front. Increasing high clouds and SE wind late Sunday ahead of a strong Pacific trough slated to impact the region Monday through Wednesday.
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.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None.
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SHORT TERM...LC LONG TERM....DG AVIATION.....LC
NWS BOI Office Area Forecast Discussion