Mulberry, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

211
FXUS63 KSGF 241832
AFDSGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
132 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Shower and thunderstorm chances continue today and tonight.
  Isolated flooding risk this afternoon/evening.
- Above normal temperatures and dry weather this weekend into
  next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
A sharp mid-level trough just northwest of the CWA will drive a
mix of patchy drizzle, showers, and thunderstorms at times into
early Thursday before it moves east of the area. Increasing
mid-level lapse rates as the trough moves into the area this
afternoon and evening will allow for 500-1,000 J/kg of MLCAPE
and PWATs of 1.4-1.6", which will pose a very localized heavy
rain threat but no severe storms. 12Z HREF QPF PMM values are
only up to around an inch, but LPMM values are up to 3-4",
indicating any flooding concerns would favor minimal coverage
with any stationary or training cells. Greatest threat will be
over central MO.
Otherwise, expect precip to end from west to east tonight into
Thursday morning. Some clearing of clouds is expected Thursday
morning, but a daytime CU field should develop shortly after.
Look for highs in the mid to upper 70s Thursday.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
The area will come under the influence of a strong upper ridge
later this week into or through all of next week. This will lead
to temperatures rising to above normal values with highs in the
low to mid 80s starting Saturday, along with dry weather. This
coincides with the CPC 6-10 day outlook which favors above
normal temperatures and below normal precipitation. The 8-14 day
outlook continues to favor above normal temperatures, but
becomes more neutral for precipitation.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1247 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
All sites will see IFR to MVFR conditions this afternoon.
Improvement is expected first at KJLN this evening, then at KSGF
and KBBG late tonight into Thursday morning. Expect occasional
showers and afternoon/evening thunderstorms, along with periods
of drizzle, into tonight.
&&
.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Titus

NWS SGF Office Area Forecast Discussion