Mount Zion, North Carolina Weather Forecast Discussion

704
FXUS62 KRAH 291802
AFDRAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure to the north will combine with the circulation around
Tropical Storm Imelda to bring a cool and moist northeast flow to
the region into Tuesday. Canadian high pressure centered over Quebec
and New England will extend into our region Thursday and Friday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT/...
As of 200 PM Monday...
The threat of locally heavy rainfall exists into the evening.
Generally a widespread and much needed rainfall continues tonight
into Tuesday morning.
The deep moisture plume extending over the region this afternoon
along with areas of showers, some locally heavy will continue to be
over the region through today and tonight. The threat of locally
heavy rain will continue throughout the region through sunset, then
shift to the central and western areas overnight. The vast majority
of the region will likely see 0.25 to 0.50 through tonight. However,
localized 1 to 2 inch amounts will occur where heavier bands train.
Only minor flooding of mainly urban and poor drainage areas is
anticipated. Lows in the 60s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 200 PM Monday...
Areas of rain/drizzle in the morning, considerable cloudiness and
even cooler Tuesday and Tuesday night.
Surface winds are expected to be a bit gusty from the NE Tuesday.
Winds 10-20 mph are expected, diminishing to around 10 mph during
the afternoon. As Imelda turns east and moves seaward, the plume of
deep moisture will shift back east and the moisture will begin to
scour out from the north. Lift and much needed rainfall will
gradually taper off and end Tuesday morning. Areas of drizzle can
still be expected into the afternoon. Even cooler air will advect in
from the NE and highs will likely hold in the upper 60s for some
northern areas of the Piedmont ranging into the 70s south.
Additional QPF will be light, mainly less than 0.10. Expect some
partial clearing, especially in the west and north late Tuesday
night. Lows in the 50s north to lower 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 116 PM Monday...
Mid-level ridging will amplify across eastern Canada Wednesday and
Thursday before de-amplifying over the northeast Friday into the
weekend. At the sfc, strong high pressure over Canada will extend
cool, dry nely flow across central NC Wednesday through Friday.
Highs will generally range in the lower to mid 70s, although some
upper 60s will be possible as highs on Thursday.  Overnight lows
should dip into the lower 50s with some possible upper 40s Wednesday
and Thursday night across northern locations. Lingering nely gusts
of 15 to 25 mph are possible Wednesday and Thursday. However, the
center of the high will slide off the Mid-Atlantic coast by Friday
which should relax the winds and lead to a bit of a warm up this
weekend as flow turns a bit more ely (highs in the upper 70s by
Sunday).
Will maintain a dry forecast through the extended. However, there is
some guidance suggesting that some kind of coastal trough/sfc low
could generate rain by next Monday especially over our far
southeastern areas. As of now though, will go with a dry forecast
until we get closer to this time period.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 200 AM Monday...
Areas of rain, fog, drizzle, low ceilings will continue tonight
into Tuesday. IFR conditions are expected to remain widespread.
Outlook beyond 18z Tuesday: IFR to MVFR restrictions, with periods
of rain will continue into Tuesday. As Imelda turns east and moves
out to sea Tuesday night and into Wednesday, drier air will advect
into the area from the north, allowing a return of dry VFR
conditions.
&&
.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RAH
NEAR TERM...RAH
SHORT TERM...RAH
LONG TERM...Luchetti
AVIATION...RAH

NWS RAH Office Area Forecast Discussion