934 FXUS64 KMRX 030541 AFDMRXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 141 AM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...New DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1247 AM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025
- Dry weather can be expected through the weekend. Rain chances return next week.
- Temperatures will hover near normal or just above normal through the forecast period.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1247 AM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025
Surface high pressure is centered off of the southern New England coast. Meanwhile, ridging aloft is broadening across the majority of the US, with the exception of a digging trough over the PNW. Precipitation will be locked primarily to the Gulf, Florida, and nearby locations the next few days. Under this pattern, we will continue with dry weather, near seasonable temperatures, and at least a couple of lower humidity days. High pressure locked to the east will bring some breezy nights to the higher elevations through early next week. The aforementioned trough will deepen and move eastward, compressing the ridge, eventually changing our weather pattern next week.
Today and tomorrow will feel drier, with dew points remaining below 60. Although temperatures won`t rise all too much, the humidity will crank back up beginning Sunday and remain elevated in the mid to upper 60s through about Wednesday. The current forecast in comparison to the past few nights, now suggests we may hold onto the dry weather through the entire weekend. The gulf moisture may not infringe on our southern borders until possibly Monday. A cold front may impact the region Tuesday into Wednesday, returning the chance for area-wide precipitation.
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.AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1217 AM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025
The probability of fog development late tonight, while not zero, looks too low to include vsby restriction at any site. Will have a VFR forecast for the period with light winds.
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Chattanooga Airport, TN 81 57 81 60 / 0 0 0 0 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 79 54 81 55 / 0 0 0 0 Oak Ridge, TN 79 54 80 54 / 0 0 0 0 Tri Cities Airport, TN 77 49 78 51 / 0 0 0 0
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.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. &&
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DISCUSSION...KS AVIATION...99
NWS MRX Office Area Forecast Discussion