822 FXUS63 KLOT 272328 AFDLOTArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 628 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and unseasonably warm daytime conditions through next week will lead to worsening drought.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 235 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Enhanced and persistent mid and upper level ridging associated with a blocking type pattern across the eastern CONUS will continue to support unseasonably mild and dry continues across our region for the foreseeable future. Accordingly, no impactful weather is anticipated through the next 7 days, though drought conditions will continue to deteriorate.
In the near term, a weak cold front will drop southward in across the area tonight then wash out into Sunday. There will not be much of a noticeable impact from this front other then an east-northeasterly wind shift into early Sunday morning, along with the possibility of a few early morning lower clouds and patchy shallow ground fog. Otherwise, an expansive area of high pressure will become established over northeastern North America this week. This will ultimately favor the larger scale synoptic flow to favor persistent onshore easterly winds through much of the upcoming week. Accordingly, we can expect the lake cooling footprint to spread relatively far inland each day, which should keep conditions near the lake generally in the 70s for highs, while interior areas top out in the 80s.
KJB
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.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/... Issued at 628 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Only forecast concern is a cold front/wind shift tonight. West/ southwest winds under 10kts will slowly turn west/northwest this evening, then shift northerly late this evening as a weak cold front moves across the area. Winds are expected to turn more to the north/northeast during the predawn hours for the Chicago terminals. Winds will then become east/northeast later Sunday morning with speeds to 10kt.
There may be few/sct mvfr level clouds overnight into Sunday morning but confidence is low. If they occur, it appears the best time will be toward daybreak when winds turn northeasterly off of Lake Michigan. For now will continue with few mention. Patchy/shallow ground fog will also be possible by daybreak but confidence is too low for any mention at the terminals. cms
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.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. IN...None. LM...None.
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