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Manvel, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

740
FXUS64 KHGX 060523
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1223 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1159 AM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

- Isolated showers and storms will be possible along the coast and in the Gulf waters through the next several days.

-Hazardous marine conditions possible later in the week due to increasing winds

-Risk of rip currents decreases to moderate for Monday. Continue to exercise caution when swimming, especially near piers and jetties where rip currents have a higher probability of developing

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1206 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

An upper level ridge will build into the region, bringing a generally rain-free week across the majority of the inland areas for Southeast Texas. Low level moisture will increase with PWAT about average for this time of year. This could squeeze out a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over coastal locations as the sea breeze moves inland during the afternoon hours; however, the majority of rain will fall over the Gulf Waters. A weak dry front is progged to push through the area sometime this week (timing ranges from mid-week to late-week/weekend). Not expecting much, if any rain to occur along the front. Will more or less be a brief wind shift out of the north. Afternoon highs through the week will be in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Once the FROPA moves through, expect those temperatures to come down just a tad. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 70s.

Adams

&&

.AVIATION... (00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 654 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

VFR conditions for much of the forecast period. E winds at 5-10 KTS through early tonight, then becoming light and VRB overnight into Mon morning. E-ESE winds strengthen to 5-10 KTS Mon afternoon. Iso -SHRA/TSRA is possible on Mon, although low chance, mainly over areas along and south of I-10.

Cotto

&&

.MARINE... Issued at 1206 AM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

Light winds and low seas are expected to return tonight and persist through at least Wednesday. A weak boundary may slide through the coastal waters mid to late week which would bring a return of moderate northeasterly winds to the region. There is high uncertainty on when, or even if, this boundary would slide through the waters, but could be as early as Wednesday night.

Isolated showers and storms will be possible through the next several days.

Fowler/Adams

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 70 93 71 91 / 0 10 0 10 Houston (IAH) 73 93 74 93 / 0 10 0 10 Galveston (GLS) 78 88 77 88 / 10 10 10 10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...High Rip Current Risk until 1 AM CDT early this morning for TXZ436>439.

GM...None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...Adams AVIATION...Cotto MARINE...Adams/Fowler

NWS HGX Office Area Forecast Discussion

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