126 FXUS63 KGRR 281723 AFDGRRArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 123 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm and Dry Weather Ahead
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 325 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
- Warm and Dry Weather Ahead
Latest Satellite has a band of moisture moving through southern Lower Michigan. However the atmosphere has dried out that anything moving in is being evaporated. That is a taste of the things to come. Models remain in agreement as high pressure settles over the central Midwest and a large negatively tilted trough sits across Hudson Bay, extending into Newfoundland. High pressure will build through the first half of the week as warm air advection moves into the region and the ridge builds well into central Canada. The High pressure will persist through the middle of the week as the high pressure positively tilts eastward. This should be due to an upper level low moving southward along the Western Coast. The ridge will also be influenced by tropical depression nine and Hurricane Humberto. It remains to be seen what interactions will transpire between this, but the latest trends show Humberto moving northward before heading out to sea. This would seem likely due to the movement of the ridge and the advancement of the upper level low along the west coast that might track into the intermountain west late int the week. All this to say, that Michigan will remain warm and dry with Max temps 10 to 15 degrees above normal and lows around to just above normal. So expect highs in the upper 70s to low 80s with lows in the upper 40s to low 50s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/... Issued at 123 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR likely under clear skies into tomorrow as a high pressure system covers the Great Lakes region. The exception to VFR may be patchy or shallow fog 09 to 12 Z, more probable around JXN, BTL, and AZO where dew points are staying a little higher today (much drier air is mixing down in Central Michigan this afternoon). A greater fog threat may be mitigated by 15 knot winds a couple hundred feet above ground tonight.
&&
.MARINE... Issued at 123 PM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Expecting rather light winds and low waves through at least Tuesday. Wind direction will tend to vary with the contribution of the daytime lake breeze circulation and the nighttime land breeze circulation.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Ceru AVIATION...CAS MARINE...CAS
NWS grr Office Area Forecast Discussion