Lecoma, Missouri Weather Forecast Discussion

514
FXUS63 KSGF 031917
AFDSGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
217 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- High temperatures in the mid to upper 80s (5 to 15 degrees
  above normal) and mainly dry weather expected through the
  weekend.
- The next main potential for rainfall is not expected until
  early next week. 20-30% chances for mainly light rainfall
  totals across the area.
- Uncertainty still exists in the pattern for the end of next
  week. Depending on the exact track, fall-like temperatures
  could occur or continued above-normal temperatures will be
  possible.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 215 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
An upper level ridge of high pressure will remain over the
region through this weekend. An upper level trough
currently across the west coast will move northeast into and
across the Plains this weekend. The warmer air mass will remain
over the area as highs in the middle to upper 80s continue each
afternoon this weekend. Lows will only cool into the upper 50s
to the lower 60s this weekend. These temperatures will be 5 to
15 degrees above normal for this time of year.
Southerly winds will also occur through the weekend and will
increase some across the area ahead of the upper level trough.
Winds gusts up to around 20 mph will be possible at times this
weekend with the strongest winds west of Highway 65. A dry air
mass will also be in place this weekend as afternoon humidity
values of 30 to 40% Saturday and Sunday, some locations could
drop to below 30%. There could be some locations elevated fire
weather conditions where grass fuels have dried out.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 215 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
The upper level trough will move to the northeast into the Great
Lakes region, extending back to the southwest into the
southwestern United States. A front will move south on Monday
with the trough but is expected to remain north of the area as
the upper level trough remains north and an upper level ridge
over the area. Models do show the potential for a weak upper
level disturbance to move north towards the region on Monday
under the ridge. With the front remaining north of the area on
Monday, any associated rain chances with the front will too.
There could be the potential for some isolated showers/thunderstorms
with the upper level disturbances across portions of the area,
mainly south central Missouri, but overall chances for this are
low (

NWS SGF Office Area Forecast Discussion