Joelton, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

019
FXUS64 KOHX 011729
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1229 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1226 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
- Dry with warmer than normal temperatures through at least this
  weekend.
- Low chance (20-25%) rain could return by Monday/Tuesday next
  week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1018 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
The big yellow machine in the sky will continue drench Middle TN in
all of its glory today as high pressure maintains its grip over the
region. Afternoon highs will climb into the mid to upper 80s,
which is still 6 to 8 degrees above normal. Rains of a week ago
are becoming a distant memory as we start to crisp up again. I
don`t think it`s going to be an issue today or tomorrow, but as we
near this weekend without any rain, we`ll need to start watching
fire conditions once again, especially with any afternoon mixing
that could drop dew points lower than currently depicted in the
NBM.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1018 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Temperatures are expected to remain above normal (which is 80
degrees at BNA and 73 at CSV this time of the year) through the rest
of this forecast package. The downside is, the forecast is looking
drier and drier. Extended guidance was hinting at the possibility
that we could get a push of Gulf moisture Sunday night or Monday
morning and now it`s into Monday night before that potential might
rear its head (and it isn`t much). The NBM, as well as CPC`s 6-10
and 8-14 day outlooks, maintains this scenario, too. So, I guess
the best we can do is enjoy these comfortable days with highs in
the mid 80s and dew points in a very manageable range.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Light E/NE winds this evening. After 12z Thursday, winds shift to
the S and remain light through 18z. VFR conditions prevail through
Thursday. Low chance for patchy fog after 03z tonight, mainly for
SRB/CSV.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      64  88  60  85 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    61  89  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     56  79  51  77 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       62  86  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     59  81  56  79 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      57  80  54  77 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   61  84  55  82 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   62  85  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        63  86  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....Cravens

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion