487 FXUS63 KGRR 040600 AFDGRRArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Late summer-like weather through Monday then showers and temperatures falling
&&
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
- Late summer-like weather through Monday then showers and temperatures falling
Upper ridging and southwest flow persists into Monday with 850 mb temps around 15-16C and highs in the 80s. Low level moisture return increases ahead of an advancing western CONUS trough and a cold front is expected to focus showers and a few thunderstorms Monday evening into Tuesday.
The front clears Lower Michigan Tuesday night with dry northerly flow as high pressure builds in. There could be some frost by Wednesday morning with a better chance for frost and freezing conditions Thursday morning.
The sfc high moves east with return moisture and an upper low bringing the chance of showers by the end of the week.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
VFR conditions expected through Saturday evening. Winds will be south the southwest today AOB 10 knots.
&&
.MARINE... Issued at 200 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Surface pressure gradient will tighten over the next couple days with increasing south to southwest winds. Conditions are expected to become hazardous to small craft on Sunday north of Holland and possibly south of there on Monday. A cold front moves through by Tuesday with north winds possibly gusting over 25 knots at times Tuesday afternoon and evening.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Ostuno AVIATION...Ostuno MARINE...Ostuno
NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion