241 FXUS63 KDLH 222333 AFDDLHArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Duluth MN 633 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Additional rounds of overnight fog will occur tonight into Tuesday morning, and possibly again Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Dense Fog Advisories are in effect.
- Largely dry with above normal temperatures Tuesday and beyond.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 214 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Very weak troughing in northwest Ontario drops southward this afternoon into the Borderlands. This is helping promote some weak instability showers. Radar shows the expected nature of the weakly supported showers collapsing soon after formation, which is likely to persist into the evening hours today in the Arrowhead. Any rainfall would be less than 1/10 of an inch in the Arrowhead to Iron Range area over the next few hours under these widely scattered rain showers.
Another round of dense fog moves onshore again tonight from 7-10 PM this evening. The first round of Dense Fog Advisories for those areas along or near Lake Superior go into effect at 8 PM with all other inland zones, except Price County, at Midnight tonight. Expect another night and Tuesday morning commute with visibility less than 1/4 mile. All Advisories remain in effect until 11 AM Tuesday, but some inland zones are likely able to be dropped early tomorrow morning as visibility improves 9-10 AM. More limited dense fog coverage is expected to return again Tuesday night.
The remainder of the forecast features a very quiet early fall pattern with temperatures in the upper-60s to low-70s and less than 10 percent chances of additional rainfall beyond this evening.
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.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 632 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Fog is expected tonight, and it should be dense at times. Expect fog to develop at DLH right around sunset, and the onset of fog should be fairly quick with light onshore and upslope flow. In the next hour, a brief period of partially clearing skies can`t be ruled out. Elsewhere, the fog should be more gradual to develop. IFR to LIFR conditions are expected everywhere at times later tonight through Tuesday morning, then gradual clearing through the morning with VFR conditions expected everywhere Tuesday afternoon. Light and variable winds with high pressure in the vicinity.
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.MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/... Issued at 214 PM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025
Dense marine fog continues through at least late morning tomorrow, with Dense Marine Fog Advisories in effect for all nearshore waters of western Lake Superior. Clearing and improving visibility may occur Tuesday afternoon ahead of another possible round of dense fog Tuesday night into Wednesday. Winds remain light and variable under 10 knots.
For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.
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.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 11 AM CDT Tuesday for MNZ010-011-018-025-026-033>036-038. Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CDT Tuesday for MNZ012-019-037. Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CDT Tuesday for MNZ020-021. WI...Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 11 AM CDT Tuesday for WIZ006>008. Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CDT Tuesday for WIZ001>004. MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT Tuesday for LSZ121-140>148- 150.
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DISCUSSION...NLy AVIATION...JDS MARINE...NLy
NWS DLH Office Area Forecast Discussion