Hatchechubbee, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

020
FXUS64 KBMX 011112
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
612 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 609 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2025
- No hazardous weather impacts are anticipated the next seven
   days. However, drought conditions are most likely going to
   increase across the area.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 1144 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2025
High pressure will strengthen over the area with a pressure
gradient setting up through the short term. Dry conditions and
mildly breezy conditions will be the dominant features. Flow will
prevail from the east and northeast, with drier air filtering
into the state. RH values will dip into the 30s for parts of the
state each afternoon, with high temperatures cooling slightly from
the upper 80s today to mid 80s tomorrow.
24
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1144 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2025
The high will continue over the state Friday and Saturday,
keeping dry weather and cooler temperatures each day. Winds will
remain out of the east and northeast, breezy each day. By Sunday,
a trough approaches the southeast US, with the high weakening and
moving east. With flow around the high, this puts central Alabama
with southeasterly to easterly flow that transitions to have a
southerly component by the beginning of the workweek. Moisture
will advect into the state with a low to moderate chance for
diurnal convection Sunday through Tuesday. There is some
uncertainty as to how much moisture will return and how quickly,
but there is general consensus for now that there will be at least
scattered convection, higher coverage in the southeast closer to
the moisture advection.
With dry conditions for several days, drought could easily become
worse in many areas. High temperatures will hover in the 80s
through the extended, with the coolest lows expected Friday night,
with values as low as the upper 50s.
24
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 AM CDT WED OCT 1 2025
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period as high
pressure and winds from the east and northeast bring drier air to
the state. Variable cloudiness but most ceilings remain 1t or
above 5000 feet.
16
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
The area should remain mostly dry, with minRH values falling into
the low to mid-30s for many areas Wednesday through Friday.
Given the sharp east shift in the tropical trends, no real
moisture return is expected until late weekend and into early next
week with only isolated rain chances beginning around Sunday.
Because of this, drought conditions will remain ongoing, with
additional expansion possible given the lack of rain.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     87  60  83  53 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    86  61  81  56 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  88  63  85  59 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  90  63  87  59 /  10   0   0   0
Calera      89  62  86  57 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      86  63  81  58 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  88  63  84  58 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        85  62  82  59 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...16

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion