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Grasshopper Junction, Arizona Weather Forecast Discussion

693
FXUS65 KVEF 292216
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Las Vegas NV 315 PM PDT Mon Sep 29 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* A series of disturbances will roll through the Western US this week, bringing isolated showers to the Great Basin and breezy, dry conditions elsewhere in the region.

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.DISCUSSION...through Sunday.

Late morning satellite imagery shows building cumulus clouds along the ridges of the southern Great Basin and southern Sierra. A shortwave trough approaching the central California Coast will support a few showers and isolated thunderstorms (20 to 30 percent chance) this afternoon and again tomorrow afternoon over the mountains surrounding the far northern Owens Valley and across Esmeralda and central Nye Counties. Outside of these areas, no precipitation is anticipated, though breezy south to southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph can be expected. As this trough shifts east by mid- week, upper-level southwesterly flow will set up, pushing any remaining moisture out of the region. A second trough is forecast to move into western US late in the week. While details regarding timing and intensity remain uncertain, breezy winds and cooler temperatures are likely to accompany it. These cooler temperatures should persist as long-term guidance shows this trough-y pattern continuing through the weekend and into early next week.

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.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast Package...No significant weather impacts are anticipated through tonight, with light winds following typical diurnal patterns. While a slight chance remains for brief periods of 10 to 12 knot winds, the probability of this has decreased to 10 to 20 percent. Gusts to around 20 knots are more likely tomorrow, generally between 30/18Z and 01/03Z. VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period with FEW to SCT clouds with bases AOA 10kft AGL.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Most locations will continue to experience light breezes that follow typical diurnal patterns through tonight. The exception will be the Owens Valley and southwestern Great Basin where gusty south winds of 20 to 30 knots are possible into the early evening. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms also remain possible in these areas. Winds and any convective activity are expected to subside after sunset. Aside from the convection mentioned above, VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period with FEW to SCT clouds with bases AOA 10kft AGL.

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.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures.

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DISCUSSION...PLanz AVIATION...Planz

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NWS VEF Office Area Forecast Discussion

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