Frost, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

890
FXUS63 KMPX 261150
AFDMPX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
650 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonably warm & dry weather continues through the end of the
  month.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 239 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Little in the way of fog development tonight, owing to slightly
drier air filtering into the region behind a dry frontal
passage & the fact that daytime temperatures overachieved into
the 80s yesterday. Sunny, warm, & dry weather continues through
this weekend with the only real weather of note being another
dry frontal passage Saturday resulting to a few hours of breezy
winds in its wake. Seasonably warm temperatures continue with
temperatures generally 5 to 10 degrees above normal, although
slightly cooler temperatures are expected behind the front
Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning.
The warm & dry pattern becomes even more pronounced early next
week to end the month as upper level ridging strengthens over the
midwest. Ensembles show temperature anomalies peaking around 15
to 20 degrees above normal Monday & Tuesday, meaning highs well
into the 80s look likely across the area. Most guidance
continues to depict a frontal passage for the end of next week,
which will at least temper the the warm pattern somewhat,
although ensemble guidance still keeps temperature anomalies
above normal next weekend & into early October. At least a
chance for showers & thunderstorms looks likely with this
frontal passage sometime Thursday into Friday, although models
remain spread on just how widespread or soaking this rain may be
along the front.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 644 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
It`s just a wind forecast this period, with another dry frontal
passage expected late tonight into Saturday morning. Given the
frontal timing, we`ll see southeast winds develop this
afternoon, that will become southerly overnight, with a switch
to the west and eventually northwest with the front. By 12z Sat,
said front will be pushing through RNH. Atmo is just plain too
dry to support much in the way of cloud cover let alone
precipitation with this fropa.
KMSP...FROPA timing looks to be between 9z and 11z Saturday.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SAT...VFR. Wind NW 10-15 kts.
SUN...VFR. Wind S 5-10 kts.
MON...VFR. Wind S 5-15 kts.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...MPG

NWS MPX Office Area Forecast Discussion