Fleming, New York Weather Forecast Discussion

799
FXUS61 KBGM 010543
AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
143 AM EDT Wed Oct 1 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build southward into the region
for the middle of the week and remain in place over the weekend,
right into early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Main challenge will be how much temperatures fall the next
couple of nights. Conditions do appear favorable for radiational
cooling with clear skies and light winds. Temperatures tonight
look to fall into the upper 30`s and low 40`s just warm enough
to prevent anything more than widely patchy frost/fog in valley
locations. A cooler airmass will be coming southward with the
high pressure system dropping highs Wednesday into the 60`s.
Wednesday night looks like the coldest night as the coldest of
the airmass aloft moves over our region. A few locations in the
western Catskills and northern Oneida county have the potential
to fall slightly below freezing. A freeze watch has been issued
for these areas with frost possible in valley locations
elsewhere.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Temperatures start a slow warming trend, getting toward 70 for
highs as high pressure remains in control. Low temperatures
trend warmer ending any frost potential.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The prolonged dry and sunny conditions will continue through
the weekend and into Tuesday as high pressure still dominates
the weather pattern. With the high remaining centered off the
mid- Atlantic coast, a south to southwesterly flow will advect
in warmer air and send our high temperatures back well above
average through early next week. Highs Saturday look to be
largely in the mid to upper 70s with some spots making a run at
80 degrees. Sunday and Monday are expected to be in the upper
70s and low 80s. Overnight lows are expected to be in the upper
40s and 50s into early next week.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected at all terminals through the TAF
period. A very dry air mass moving in from the north combined
with winds that remain elevated just above the surface is
expected to keep fog from forming early this morning, including
at ELM.
North-northeast winds will become a bit breezy late this
morning and into this afternoon with gusts around 15 knots
possible before diminishing this evening. With the dry air
remaining in place and some high clouds moving in aloft
later Wednesday night, the chances for fog formation look very
low once again.
Outlook...
Thursday through Sunday...VFR. Potential early morning fog at
KELM each morning may result in restrictions.
&&
.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Thursday for
     PAZ038>040-043-048-072.
NY...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Thursday for
     NYZ009-046-057.
     Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Thursday for
     NYZ022-024-025-036-037-044-045-055-056-062.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...MWG
NEAR TERM...MWG
SHORT TERM...MWG
LONG TERM...MWG
AVIATION...DK

NWS BGM Office Area Forecast Discussion