Flat Creek, New York Weather Forecast Discussion

178
FXUS61 KALY 291714
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
114 PM EDT Mon Sep 29 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Dry conditions are expected through next weekend as high
pressure remains in control. A cold front will drop southward
Tuesday, allowing for cooler temperatures during the mid to late
week. Warmer weather returns for the upcoming weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
As of 115 PM EDT, high clouds continue to stream northward from
the mid Atlantic states. This will allow for filtered sunshine
for areas near and south of I-90, with more sunshine to the
north for this afternoon. High temperatures should reach the
mid/upper 70s in many valley areas.
Clear to partly cloudy tonight as high clouds persist,
especially areas from I-90 south. These high clouds may keep
overnight min temps a bit milder for these areas along with
slightly less coverage of fog. For areas north of I-90, slightly
cooler as clouds remain thinner, and also a bit greater chance
of at least patchy fog formation. Lows in the 40s across
northern areas and 50s elsewhere.
A cold front will be dropping southward during Tuesday. Moisture
will remain limited, so no precipitation is expected. However,
winds will increase in the wake of the front and may become
gusty Tuesday afternoon, especially where channeled
north/northeast flow develops across portions of the upper
Hudson River Valley, where some gusts up to 25-30 mph could
occur late in the day. High temps mainly in the 70s, except 60s
for northern areas.
Cool and breezy for Tuesday night into Wednesday, with
north/northeast winds occasionally gusting up to 25 mph,
especially within the Hudson River Valley due to channeled flow.
Lows in the mid 30s across the southern Adirondacks, to the
lower/mid 40s elsewhere. Highs Wednesday ranging from the mid
50s to lower/mid 60s. Patchy clouds may be around Wednesday
morning before clearing in the afternoon.
Widespread frost/freeze potential for Wednesday night as high
pressure nears the region amid a dry airmass. Lows should be in
the mid 20s to mid/upper 30s. Frost Advisories/Freeze Warnings
will likely be needed for many areas outside of the southwest
Adirondacks where the growing season ends Oct 1. Highs Thursday
in the 50s/60s.
Chilly again Thursday night with some areas of frost possible.
Otherwise gradual warming trend begins Friday and continues
through Sunday. Lows Friday morning mainly in the 30s. Max temps
in the 60s/70s Friday, and 70s to around 80 Saturday/Sunday.
Overnight lows mainly in the 40s to around 50.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Flying conditions are currently VFR across the region with light
surface winds. Visible satellite imagery shows widespread thin high
cirrus clouds in place.  Based on satellite trends, sct-bkn high
clouds will continue to spread across the region from the south for
the rest of the day and into tonight.  These clouds are very thin
and there will be some breaks, so some patchy fog may still develop
for the late night hours in the typical sheltered areas.  Will
mention a period of IFR fog developing at KPSF and KGFL around 07z
and continuing to about 12z or so. Elsewhere, a larger T/td spread,
the thin clouds and a light breeze may prevent fog from occurring.
The fog should be dissipating shortly after sunrise. Winds will
remain very light to calm for the overnight hours.
For during the day on Tuesday, flying conditions will be VFR with no
precip. Skies will be fairly clear, with just few-sct high clouds
around.  With a cold front moving through, winds will become
northerly at 5-10 kts for all sites on Tuesday. A few higher gusts
are possible during the afternoon hours.
Outlook...
Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night-Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KL/Webb
DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...Frugis

NWS ALY Office Area Forecast Discussion