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Fields, Oregon Weather Forecast Discussion

418
FXUS65 KBOI 231557
AFDBOI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 957 AM MDT Tue Sep 23 2025

.DISCUSSION...A ridge of high pressure continues to build into the region today under mostly clear skies. Winds will increase from the E-SE this afternoon and bring warmer conditions and also help to clear out the smoke. Temperatures on Wednesday warm to around 10 degrees above normal. Forecast on track with no updates.

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.AVIATION...VFR. Dense wildfire smoke over E OR (mainly KBKE and KONO) will create brief MVFR conditions through morning/early afternoon. Surface winds: W-SW 5-15 kt. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: E-NE 10-20 kt.

KBOI...VFR with clear skies. Surface winds: SE 5-10 kt through late morning. Gusts around 20 kt this afternoon.

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.PREV DISCUSSION... SHORT TERM...Today through Thursday night...Clear skies, except smoky mostly in OR, due to wildfires in WA. The smoke should decrease from east to west today and tonight via easterly winds at low levels. We also have an upper level ridge over our area. The ridge is forecast to hold nearly stationary through Thursday bringing dry air and warmer temps. By Thursday highs will be in the mid 70s to mid 80s in the mountains, and mid to upper 80s in the lower valleys, i.e., 10 to 12 degrees above normal. Lows will warm more slowly resulting in diurnal temperature ranges as large as 50 degrees in eastern OR. Surface winds will be mainly east or southeast 5-15 mph through Thursday except 15 to 25 mph today in the Snake Basin between Mountain Home and Gooding.

LONG TERM...Friday through Tuesday...A cool, shallow trough will pass to the north early Friday morning while sweeping a dry cold front through the forecast area. As a result, gusty west/northwest winds and 6 to 9 degrees of cooling can be expected Friday in the wake of this front, but precipitation chances will be negligible. Upper flow will transition to a warmer, west-southwest over the weekend as a prominent Gulf of Alaska low approaches and deepens along the West Coast. Meanwhile, long range models now indicate that a closed low over CA/NV will become an open wave and send moisture northward into southern Idaho on Sunday. This solution will increase the probability of showers and thunderstorms for Sunday afternoon and evening, favoring the southwest/south-central Idaho mountains. Thereafter, the Gulf of Alaska low is forecast to move onshore on Monday, sending a plume of Pacific moisture into the northwest U.S. While models still disagree on the strength and timing of this low, cooling temperatures and a boost in precipitation chances are expected early next week for E Oregon and SW Idaho.

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.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None.

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DISCUSSION...KA AVIATION.....JY SHORT TERM...LC LONG TERM....SH

NWS BOI Office Area Forecast Discussion

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