Fairfield Glade, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

971
FXUS64 KOHX 032333
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
633 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 628 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
- Dry with warmer than normal temperatures through this weekend.
- Low chance (20-40%) rain late Monday through Wednesday
- Cooler temperatures late week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 628 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
It`s very comfortable out this evening with low humidity and
temperatures in the mid 70s. No changes have been made to the
forecast for this update. Enjoy your Friday night festivities
under mostly clear skies!
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1145 AM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
A very familiar wx pattern will continue through this weekend
with dry conditions, warm days, and pleasant nights. A sprawling
upper level ridge is in place across the central and eastern
states with a dry surface high pressure system extending from the
Mid Atlantic Region to the Southern Plains. Through the weekend
the surface and upper level highs will re-center and stack up
along the east coast. This will bring us slight warming each day.
It will also set up increasing south winds and slightly higher
humidity for Sunday.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1145 AM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
As high pressure moves off to the east and moisture comes up form
the south, we will start to see some rain chances for Monday, and
more so Tuesday. Unfortunately, models are not in great agreement
during this time. A few models show some decent pockets of rain,
but most models are not showing a lot of forcing to work with the
moisture, so rainfall amounts and coverage look unimpressive.
Average model rainfall forecasts for Monday and Tuesday are
showing less than one quarter inch. Chances may climb a little
more going into Wednesday with arrival of an upper trough and a
cold front, but additional rainfall amounts under one quarter inch
are shown. Forecast parameters also do not show much risk for
thunderstorms or any severe threat. After the front passes, late
week temperatures will be cooler, but still leaning toward the
warm side of normal.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Fri Oct 3 2025
VFR conditions through TAF period with light winds, generally out
of the SE. Low chance for some patchy fog across Middle TN 06z
to 12z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      59  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    58  86  59  88 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     52  78  54  78 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       55  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     55  81  58  82 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      55  79  55  80 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   55  82  59  84 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   56  84  60  86 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        58  84  60  85 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
UPDATE.......Baggett
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....Rose

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion