Ellsworth, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

876
FXUS63 KICT 251912
AFDICT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
212 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Extended period of tranquil weather with near normal or
  slightly above temperatures for at least the next 7-9 days.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 210 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Currently, the upper level trough is exiting the region to the east
as an upper ridge builds in over the Plains from the west. At the
surface, high pressure has settled over the area behind the frontal
boundary. This is leading to light northwesterly winds, mostly sunny
skies, and mild temperatures. Temperatures this afternoon will range
from the upper 70s to around 80 degrees areawide.
The upper level ridge will dominate our pattern for the rest of the
forecast time frame. This will lead to a stretch of dry and mild
weather like we haven`t seen for quite some time. Afternoon highs
for the next week will reach into the upper 70s to lower 80s with
overnight lows falling to around 60 each night. Near zero rain
chances are also expected with mostly sunny conditions. Winds will
turn southerly on Friday, remaining out of the south between 5-10
knots through the end of the period. A weak upper level impulse
looks to pass over the region early next week that could lead to a
few more clouds on Mon/Tue with POPs remaining under 10%. But that
looks to be the extent of the excitement for this forecast.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Quiet VFR conditions expected the next 24 hours across the
region.
Light northwest winds will gradually turn light south-
southwesterly this evening and tonight, as the surface ridge
axis pushes east of the area.
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...ADK

NWS ICT Office Area Forecast Discussion