Elkader, Iowa Weather Forecast Discussion

883
FXUS63 KARX 271836
AFDARX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
136 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- It will be dry with above-normal temperatures through Friday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 134 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Tonight and Sunday Night
While the winds aloft will be decreasing tonight, the overall fog
potential looks to be on the low side due to a downslope winds and
drying moisture in the boundary layer. Low temperatures tonight will
be in the 40s.
Sunday through Friday
A ridge of high pressure will dominate the weather for much of next
week. High temperatures will range from the mid-70s to mid-80s. Like
yesterday, the high temperatures from Wednesday through Friday
look to be on the cool side. Currently, the temperatures are in
the mid- 70s to around 80. If these trends continue, these
temperatures will have to be eventually raised into the 75th
percentile which ranges from the upper 70s to mid-80s.
From looking at the dew points upstream, they are a bit too high.
Will be using the NBM 10th percentile to bring them closer to
reality for Sunday and Monday.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
VFR conditions are expected for much of the TAF period outside
of the potential for shallow IFR to LIFR fog east of the
Mississippi River between 09-14Z. The coverage and thickness of
the fog is of low confidence given the drier air filtering in
behind a cold front and there is a modest chance that little
fog forms at all. Stratus concerns for the Mississippi River
also are of lower confidence given this dry air, but bear
watching. NW winds around 10-15 kts this afternoon become light
this evening and back to the SE around 5 kts for Sunday.
&&
.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Boyne
AVIATION...Skow

NWS ARX Office Area Forecast Discussion