328 FXUS63 KDMX 272321 AFDDMXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Des Moines IA 621 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
...Updated for the 00z Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm and dry through most of next week.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 202 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Surface cold front crossing the area today will bring slightly cooler low temperatures tonight, with a quick return to above normal on Sunday as the surface ridge quickly exits the area. Broad ridging aloft will dominate the weather over the upper midwest for much of the coming week. Scarce moisture combined with southerly low level flow will result in unseasonably warm temperatures (highs ~10-15 degrees above normal) through the period.
Long range models try to dampen the ridge toward next weekend as a surge of energy drops into the western US. Confidence in the timing of this evolution is low, however, due mainly to the presence of tropical systems in the Atlantic.
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.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 620 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
The dry cool front continues to slowly track southeastward across Iowa, with current placement just beyond the KDSM terminal. The winds as a result have largely shifted north/northwesterly, and will occur at KOTM within the next few hours. Mid to upper level clouds with this front may linger mainly across the southeast into Sunday, with VFR conditions expected. Winds shift further out of the southeast through Sunday, remaining relatively light.
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.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.
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DISCUSSION...DMD AVIATION...Bury
NWS DMX Office Area Forecast Discussion