Donelson, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

777
FXUS64 KOHX 262306
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
606 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 603 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
- Low rain chances across the Plateau this afternoon and Saturday.
  Areas west remain dry with warming temperatures.
- Overall dry weather into early next week with temperatures
  remaining above-normal.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1113 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
If you are west of the plateau, you are enjoying the sun this
morning after several days of unsettled weather. There is an upper
low centered over the western portion of the CWA which is evident
on water vapor imagery. That is continuing to provide some lift
over the eastern third of the CWA. Some additional showers will be
possible through the afternoon along the plateau. Elsewhere,
enjoy the sun and pleasant temperatures. Shower activity over the
east will decrease after sunset with areas of fog developing after
midnight. Saturday will get off to a nice start with lows mainly
in the 50s. The upper low will make some eastern progress with
Middle Tennessee on the backside of the low Saturday afternoon. A
low chance of showers will remain over the plateau from the late
morning through the afternoon. Temperatures will top out in the
upper 70s to mid 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1113 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
By Sunday, the upper low will have transitioned to an upper wave and
will be far enough east to take the low rain chances out of our
east. Temperatures will be about 3-5 degrees above normal for this
time of year with highs in the low to mid 80s. To start next week,
Middle Tennessee will be sandwiched between a broad upper low over
the Carolinas and broad upper ridging centered over the upper
Midwest. We`ll be keeping an eye on the Atlantic as a tropical
system will be off the Carolina coast and likely be pulled ashore
thanks to the upper level weakness. Some of the tropical moisture
may be pulled far enough west for some low rain chances to return
to our eastern counties by mid to late week but confidence is
pretty low. Temperatures in the extended will continue to run 3-5
degrees above normal for late September.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 603 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
VFR conditions prevail with light northerly winds. Patchy fog is
expected to develop overnight, bringing IFR/LIFR visibilities to
SRB and CSV and MVFR visibilities to CKV. Conditions will improve
back to VFR between 14Z and 16Z. There`s a low chance for showers
across the Plateau Saturday afternoon at SRB and CSV.
Probabilities remain too low to include in TAFs at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      62  84  59  86 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    58  84  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     58  75  56  79 /  10  30   0  10
Columbia       58  83  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     59  78  56  81 /  10  20   0   0
Jamestown      58  76  56  79 /  10  20   0  10
Lawrenceburg   58  81  56  83 /   0  10   0   0
Murfreesboro   60  83  56  85 /   0  10   0   0
Waverly        57  82  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Clements

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion