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Corley, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

521
FXUS64 KSHV 260150
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 850 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

- Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon across portions of South Arkansas and North Louisiana.

- Milder temperatures expected through the upcoming weekend.

- Temperatures should begin to moderate next week with dry conditions persisting.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1039 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

A weak frontal boundary across the lower Mississippi River Valley combined with an upper-trough swinging east across the region could allow for widely scattered showers and thunderstorms across north Louisiana and south Arkansas this afternoon. Once the trough exits to the east, upper-level ridging will build across the Red River Valley into Oklahoma allowing for north to northwest flow across the ArkLaTex through the weekend. Subsidence associated with the ridge will allow for mostly clear skies areawide through much of the period. This pattern to persist through at least Tuesday. On Wednesday, the forecast becomes a bit more challenging and is dependent on a series of disturbances in the tropical Atlantic that will build west across the southeast CONUS. Instability associated with these disturbances could allow for increasing rain chances by midweek.

Much milder temperatures expected through the weekend as highs will average in the mid to upper 80s with lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Otherwise, could see slightly warmer overnight low temperatures in the low to mid 60s by midweek. /05/

&&

.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 836 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

For 26/00Z TAF period, VFR conditions are expected through the period with some lingering cu/altocu cigs across our northern and eastern terminals this evening and overnight. Although we cannot completely rule out the potential for some patchy low stratus and fog closer to daybreak, low confidence precludes any mention in this current TAF cycle and will reevaluate with future forecasts. Otherwise, light northerly winds will prevail through the period as drier air continues to filter into the region in the wake of the recent frontal passage.

/19/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1120 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 65 86 63 87 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 64 85 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 58 84 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 62 85 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 60 84 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 62 84 61 85 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 61 85 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 62 87 61 88 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. &&

$$

DISCUSSION...05 AVIATION...19

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion

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