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Comstock, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

066
FXUS63 KLBF 052034
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 334 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers will be possible late tonight and into Monday morning.

- Cool temperatures Monday will be followed by a warming trend Tuesday through the end of the week.

- Mainly dry conditions are expected Tuesday through the end of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... Issued at 329 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

A cold front is making it`s way southeastward across the area this afternoon. An area of lower clouds and overcast conditions have spread over portions of northern Nebraska and the Sandhills behind the frontal boundary. The front will settle south of the area across Kansas tonight. Convection is likely to develop north of the boundary overnight as lift/FGEN increase north of the front as the LLJ intensifies to the south of the boundary. Instability is very weak across our area, and expecting the precipitation to be showery in nature with little chance of any thunder. A narrow band of more persistent light to perhaps moderate rain should develop across northwest into portions of north central Nebraska. This band will be largely driven by favorable jet dynamics helping enhance lift across that area. As the front settles farther to the south into Kansas Monday, precipitation will quickly end during the morning hours with dry weather expected by Monday afternoon. Cloud cover will linger however, and it will be quite cool, with highs only in the 50s.

Surface high pressure will settle southeastward and be centered across the area by Tuesday morning. Skies will clear and winds will be light. Although not expecting any widespread frost, there could possibly be a bit of patchy frost, especially across northwest Nebraska. Will have to monitor the low temperatures Monday night/Tuesday morning. As of now the lowest is 36 which would minimize the frost potential.

As the surface high shifts east of the area Tuesday, southerly low- level flow will gradually develop. Weak WAA will add about 10 degrees to highs Tuesday, with mid 60s expected at most locations.

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.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Issued at 329 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Ridging aloft begins to build northward through the plains on Wednesday. Ridging will continue to amplify Thursday into Friday as a deep upper trough starts to dig southward along the west coast. By Saturday the ridge will shift eastward slightly as the west coast upper trough begins to eject northeastward toward the northern Rockies Saturday and into Canada by Sunday. Overall this looks to be a dry and very mild pattern for our area through Saturday. Highs will range from near 70 Wednesday and warm into the mid 70s to lower 80s Thursday through Saturday. Gusty south winds appear they could develop Saturday, but humidity seems to remain only marginally low as some low-level moisture is returned northward into the area on the southerly flow. At this time, overall fire weather concerns in the extended look to remain generally on the low side.

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.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/... Issued at 102 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

MVFR ceilings are expected at times through the TAF period across northern Nebraska, with MFVR ceilings developing across central into southwest Nebraska late tonight and continuing into Monday morning. Gusty north winds this afternoon will decrease and become northeast tonight. Scattered areas of light rain and perhaps a thunderstorm or two will be possible late tonight across the area.

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.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Taylor LONG TERM...Taylor AVIATION...Taylor

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion

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