Clinchfield, Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

131
FXUS62 KFFC 281046
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
646 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 640 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
- Increasing confidence that TD9/Imelda will have minimal impacts
   to north and central GA based on the latest forecast.
- Dry conditions through the upcoming week except for 15-25%
   rain chances on Monday and Tuesday.
- Temps falling into the mid 70s and breezy winds each afternoon
   will lead to fall like conditions through late week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 217 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Warm and dry conditions today across north and central Georgia
courtesy of being on the backside of a mid-level low over the
Carolinas. East-northeast surface winds may be occasionally
breezy during the afternoon as the pressure gradient starts to
tighten with high pressure to our north, and Tropical Depression 9
(future Imelda) near the Bahamas. The breezy winds will feel
pleasant, providing a bit of relief from the muggy high temps in
the mid to upper 80s.
By Monday morning, TD9 is expected to have strengthened into
Tropical Storm Imelda, and be off the Atlantic coast of Central
Florida. As it continues northward throughout the day, it will
start to have some influence on the weather in our area by sending
increased atmospheric moisture (PWAT values of 1.5-1.9") into the
region within stout easterly flow. This will lead to increasing
low to mid-level clouds and isolated to scattered showers (15-25%
PoPs) from late morning through the rest of the day, with the best
rain chances across the eastern half of the area. Overall rainfall
amounts will likely be around 0.10-0.25" or less. Winds will pick
up a bit, becoming a sustained 8-12 mph out of the E-NE with
frequent gusts to 20 mph. The increased cloud cover will lead to
cooler temps, with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s across most
of the area. An exception would be across far western areas where
less cloud cover will allow highs to reach the mid to upper 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 217 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
With the latest track forecast from NHC and the latest round of
ensembles, confidence is increasing that TD9 (future Imelda) will
result in minimal impacts to north and central Georgia mid to
late week. TD9 has been very slow moving today and is expected to
continue to slowly move northward and by Tuesday when the long
term forecast picks up TD9 is expected to be off the coast of
Georgia. With how slow this storm is moving and the ensembles
also reflecting TD9/Imelda stalling out at this point would not
be surprised to either see Imelda not reach this area by Tuesday
or stall out into mid to late week off the SC coastline. As more
model runs have come in, there has been increasing confidence in
Imelda staying out in the Atlantic through mid week at least and
then the uncertainty begins but at that point Imelda will be well
enough away from north and central Georgia that impacts remain
unlikely through the end of the week. Currently have rain chances
along the eastern third of the area for the potential of tropical
showers on the outskirts of the system but chances remain at less
than 15-20% after Tuesday.
Temperatures looks to moderate and give a nice taste of fall
through late week with the upper level pattern supporting cooler
and drier conditions as we are wedged in between the synoptic
flow of the cutoff low and Imelda. Highs in the mid 70s expected
through the long term with lows in the mid 50s to low 60s
expected. Wind gusts will also remain elevated through much of the
long term beginning early next week and extending into late week
as the pressure gradient between the upper level cutoff low and
the tropical system set up over the area. Gusts through next week
remain in the 15-20mph range most afternoons with up to 25mph
possible over the southeastern and eastern counties. If the storm
tracks closer to the coast we could see these values approach wind
gust criteria into mid week with the worst case scenario (90th
percentile winds) showing up to 35mph gusts possible. Still too
soon to see at this point though but keep that in mind for the
week!
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 640 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
VFR conditions at most sites this morning, with some SCT MVFR
CIGs around ATL. These may briefly go BKN but would more likely
stay FEW/SCT. Patchy fog at AHN and MCN will burn off by around
14Z. VFR conditions expected the rest of today and most of tonight
before MVFR/IFR CIGs start to move in from the east after 12Z
Monday. Light E-NE winds this morning will increase to around
6-10kts during the day and persist through tonight, increasing to
8-12kts on Monday.
//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium confidence on CIGs this morning. High on all other
elements and times.
Culver
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          82  65  76  65 /   0  10  30  20
Atlanta         85  67  80  66 /   0   0  20  10
Blairsville     80  59  77  58 /  10  10  30  20
Cartersville    86  65  83  63 /   0   0  20  10
Columbus        89  68  85  67 /   0   0  20  10
Gainesville     84  66  78  65 /   0   0  20  20
Macon           86  67  81  66 /   0  10  30  10
Rome            88  65  86  64 /   0   0  20  10
Peachtree City  86  65  81  64 /   0   0  20  10
Vidalia         87  70  81  68 /  10  20  50  20
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Culver
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Culver

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion