199 FXUS64 KMOB 252346 AFDMOBArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 646 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION... Issued at 244 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A large positively tilted trough will slowly move east through the end of this week. Ahead of this trough, a cold front will slowly move east into the area this evening and eventually move east of the area by Friday evening. Ahead of this system, a deep and moist southwest flow will continue to pump moisture into the area. This will continue to create scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this evening. The coverage of showers and thunderstorms will decrease from west to east by Friday afternoon as the front moves east across the area and a drier airmass moves into the area. Most of the rain on Friday will be along and east of I-65. Dry conditions will continue through the middle of next week. High temps will warm back into the upper 80s and low 90s this weekend through next week with lower humidity. /13
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.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 646 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A cold front progresses slowly through the area through Friday, with showers and storms occurring mostly east of I-65 tonight then shifting slowly further eastward on Friday. IFR to MVFR conditions will be possible with the showers and storms, and gusty winds will also be possible with the stronger storms near the coast. Light southwesterly winds become northwesterly to northerly in the wake of the front, though a brief return to a southwesterly flow will be possible near the coast Friday afternoon. /29
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.MARINE... Issued at 244 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A light west to southwest wind flow will become northerly by Friday night as a cold front moves across the marine area. A generally light northerly flow will continue through next week as high pressure builds northwest of the marine area. /13
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.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 68 86 63 88 63 89 65 91 / 40 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 Pensacola 72 85 69 88 67 89 68 89 / 60 40 10 10 0 0 0 10 Destin 73 84 71 86 70 88 71 88 / 80 70 10 10 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 67 87 62 89 60 90 63 91 / 50 20 0 0 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 63 85 61 86 59 87 62 89 / 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 65 85 63 86 62 88 63 88 / 30 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 Crestview 68 85 63 88 62 90 63 90 / 70 50 10 10 0 0 0 10
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.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. &&
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NWS MOB Office Area Forecast Discussion