Camp Beauregard, Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

603
FXUS64 KLCH 250512
AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1212 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- There is a Slight Risk for flash flooding and a Marginal Risk
  severe weather today.
- A cold front will push through the region this evening into
  Thursday accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms.
  Drier and somewhat cooler air will filter into the region
  Thursday evening through the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
The cold front that brought showers and storms to the region earlier
is currently stretched across coastal TX/ LA into central AR, with
the lingering storms along the TX/LA coast. Convection inland has
tapered out for the night. Outside of areas of fog, areas inland
will remain on the quiet side until convection begins to ramp up
later in the morning.
While severe storms are not anticipated in the morning to afternoon
hours, we could see some heavy downpours leading to isolated flash
flooding. Over the day, the front will slowly work closer and closer
to the Gulf, clearing most of the CWA by midday, then the lower
Acadiana area by the late evening hours. Nevertheless, most of the
storms will taper in the afternoon as drier air works its way in.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A surface high pressure will continue to migrate into the plains,
where it will linger for most of the extended period.
Additionally, heights aloft will build going into the weekend.
Pleasant conditions will be on tap for the area from Friday,
although there will be a slight warming trend over the weekend and
into the consecutive work week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Showers and storms are still lingering across part of the coast and
in the Gulf, however everything has cleared from the inland areas
for the night. Areas of patchy fog will be possible tonight before
winds pick up. Going into tomorrow morning, we will see an uptick in
activity again along the front as it continues to push offshore. As
a high pressure moves closer, conditions will begin to improve again
around midday to the early evening.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
A front will continue to push into the gulf waters today into
tomorrow night. This will allow for lingering showers and storms,
with more activity ramping up during the day. Near showers and
storms, locally higher winds and waves will be possible. Winds
from the NW will be from 10 to 15 knots, with gusts over 20 knots
possible tonight into tomorrow, with improving conditions into the
weekend. Waves will be between 1 and 3 feet throughout a majority
of the forecast period.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Isolated to scattered showers and storms will still be possible
this morning and afternoon along the coast in response to the
frontal boundary. It will continue to push off, along with a high
pressure moving in, which will shut out rain chances into the
weekend. Behind the front, RH values will drop, with minimum RH
down to 40%.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  85  64  84  60 /  10   0   0   0
LCH  86  67  85  65 /  20   0   0   0
LFT  86  67  85  64 /  40   0   0   0
BPT  87  67  86  65 /  30   0   0   0
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...87
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...87

NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion