Caile, Mississippi Weather Forecast Discussion

336
FXUS64 KJAN 192346 AAA
AFDJAN
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
646 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
...New AVIATION...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 104 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Today & Tonight...
Upstream convection has unexpectedly stalled out just to our
northwest, while simultaneously deepening. The current thinking is
that once the supporting jet begins to shift, this should allow for
those showers and thunderstorms to finally make their way into our
area, especially along the ArkLaMiss Delta region this afternoon and
could persist a couple of hours after sunset.
Should we receive those showers in the Delta and northern reaches of
the area, fog/mist development will be possible in those areas. High
surface moisture and low temperatures bottoming out in the mid 60s
will allow for short lived thermal cross-over just before and after
sunrise.
Through the Weekend...
Tomorrow and Sunday the forecast area may be more suppressed below
upper-level shortwave ridging, but moisture values should still
support at least a few isolated showers or storms with daytime
heating.
Through Next Week...
The current pattern will break down over the next few days,
resulting in a more progressive zonal flow pattern over the CONUS
through the next work week. A few low pressure systems moving
through the region and deeper moisture pooled in the Deep South may
actually yield some heavy rainfall potential before the week is
over. /OAJ/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 643 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025
Isolated -TSRA wl continue to affect MEI and the southern TAF
sites through 02Z and may result in lower flight restrictions.
Otherwise, lower coverage of TSRA is expected Saturday and VFR
conditions wl prevail through the TAF period. /22/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       69  94  70  94 /  20   0   0  10
Meridian      68  95  68  94 /  20   0   0  10
Vicksburg     68  95  70  94 /  20   0   0  10
Hattiesburg   68  96  70  95 /  20   0   0  10
Natchez       68  94  69  94 /  20   0   0  10
Greenville    68  94  69  94 /  30   0   0  10
Greenwood     67  96  69  95 /  20   0   0  10
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
$$
/OAJ/22

NWS JAN Office Area Forecast Discussion