Burt, Iowa Weather Forecast Discussion

040
FXUS63 KDMX 300324
AFDDMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1024 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...Updated for the 06z Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm and dry through the end of the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 128 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Cumulus clouds have developed across parts of Iowa this afternoon
associated with a shallow plume of mid level moisture into the area.
The large blocking pattern across the central US will continue to
dominate sensible weather over Iowa throughout this week. Late
tonight and into Tuesday the western US trough will sink
towards the area, increasing convergence over western and
northern Iowa with a narrow moisture plume. While a few CAMs
squeeze out weak echos in simulated reflectivity, soundings are
fairly dry. A few sprinkles may occur with increasing cloud
cover, but any notable precipitation is unlikely. That cloud
cover may put a damper on temperatures by a few degrees, but it
will still be quite warm. Steady southerly flow through the
week will help keep temperatures in the mid to upper 80s, 10-15+
degrees above seasonal averages which are in the low 70s this
time of year. Precipitation chances return this weekend as the
western trough finally shifts east, however uncertainty remains
in terms of timing and placement at this time range and will
depend in some part on how the Atlantic systems evolve.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1024 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
VFR conditions are expected to remain across the terminals
through the period. High clouds are expected to pass overhead
Tuesday, with dry conditions anticipated across all sites,
outside of a very low chance for sprinkles north. Winds will
remain generally light from the south/southeast, though a few
occasional gusts up to 15 knots may occur north into the
afternoon.
&&
.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Hagenhoff
AVIATION...Bury

NWS DMX Office Area Forecast Discussion