Bogata, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

046
FXUS64 KSHV 241829
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
129 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1127 PM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
- Lingering showers and thunderstorms will diminish in coverage
   and intensity through the remainder of today into this
   evening.
- Much cooler temperatures expected through the weekend with
   overnight lows in the mid 50s to the lower to middle 60s each
   night.
- From Thursday onward, dry conditions expected areawide.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1032 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Surface frontal boundary currently across northeast Texas and
southeast Oklahoma to linger across the region today. Continued rain
chances expected as the 850 mb trough translates east across the
region. Conditions to gradually improve late this afternoon into
the evening as the upper-trough and cold front exit the region to
the east.
Front to linger across the Mississippi River into southeast
Louisiana on Thursday into Thursday night with a few showers and
isolated thunderstorms possible across north Louisiana and south
Arkansas during the day into the early evening hours. Otherwise,
dry conditions to prevail elsewhere.
Upper-trough responsible for ongoing convection to deepen into a
closed low which will linger across the Ohio River Valley
providing northwest flow areawide through the weekend into early
next week resulting in dry conditions each day.
A break in the heat is expected through the weekend into early
next week as a cooler surface airmass becomes established across
the ArkLaTex. Temperatures to range from highs in the mid 80s to
lows in the mid to upper 50s north to the low to mid 60s across
east Texas and north Louisiana each day. /05/
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
For the ArkLaTex terminals, fropa pushing stout convection E down
I-20 toward KMLU. KSHV G32KT, but stronger SQ pockets 40-50KT VC.
VSBY to 1/2SM in +TSRA. For now Tempos active for KELD/KMLU/KLFK
until 22Z. Cool air is deep with +/-RA ending by 00Z. Pattern
improves to VFR this aftn/eve from W to E, but some IFR/MVFR
possible again toward daybreak w/ enough NW wind to limit FG to
BR. TS just ended at KGGG w/ NW10-20KT to round out the day.
Fallish Chamber of Commerce days await & through the weekend. /24/
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1032 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  69  85  65  85 /  20  10  10   0
MLU  69  86  65  85 /  50  20  10   0
DEQ  62  81  59  84 /   0  10   0   0
TXK  65  84  63  86 /   0  10   0   0
ELD  63  83  60  83 /  20  20   0   0
TYR  65  83  63  84 /  10   0   0   0
GGG  65  83  63  84 /  10   0   0   0
LFK  67  87  64  86 /  40  10   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...24

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion