Berner, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

886
FXUS63 KFGF 260326
AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1026 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- No weather hazards into early next week. Above normal
  temperatures will continue through next week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1026 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Winds have quickly dropped off after sunset with the loss of
daytime heating. Conditions remain quiet, with no weather
impacts expected overnight.
UPDATE
Issued at 616 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
Not a cloud in the sky this evening on satellite as surface
high pressure dominates to our north in southern Manitoba. Only
minor tweaks were made to the going forecast.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 120 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...Synopsis...
Large scale ridging will continue across much of the CONUS for
the forecast period. A brief breakdown in the apex of the ridge
will allow for some showers and a few rumbles of thunder Friday
evening, but otherwise impacts will be limited. Above normal
temperatures will continue through the next week as the ridging
continues to linger.
Ensemble guidance hints at southwest flow potentially setting up
next week, which is reflected in NBM probabilities for
precipitation around 20%. Smaller scale features have a low
predictability and the spread significantly breaks down so
predictability for weather impacts is low.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1026 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
VFR will prevail throughout the TAF period, with no aviation
impacts expected. Light and variable winds overnight will pick
up in the morning from the south/southeast, becoming gusty in
the afternoon. Gusts will drop off after sunset Friday evening,
but an approaching cold front will begin to shift the wind
direction to the northwest late in the TAF period.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Rafferty
DISCUSSION...Perroux
AVIATION...Rafferty

NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion