Badger, Alaska Weather Forecast Discussion

039
FXAK69 PAFG 192155
AFDAFG
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
155 PM AKDT Fri Sep 19 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Typical fall conditions will continue across much of the area.
Several weak systems will approach the interior over the weekend
bringing spotty light precipitation, mainly to the eastern
interior. A slightly stronger system will follow early next week
with the potential for more widespread interior rainfall along
with snow throughout the Alaska Range. In addition an arctic front
will drop into northern Alaska early next week with mainly light
snow showers but noticeably colder and breezy conditions for the
North Slope and West Coast.
&&
.KEY WEATHER MESSAGES...
Central and Eastern Interior...
- Isolated showers develop in the Eastern Interior this afternoon
  and spread over the White Mountains through Saturday morning.
- Widespread rain showers southeast of Fairbanks, mainly from the
  Upper Tanana Valley northward on Saturday. Isolated rain showers
  move into Central Interior Saturday night but will be light,
  there is a nonzero chance for a few flakes at the summits of the
  highest terrain in the White Mountains.
- Isolated to scattered showers for much of the Interior on
  Sunday.
- Temperatures will be cooling through the weekend and into next
  week with highs in the upper 40s to near 50 by Monday.
West Coast and Western Interior...
- Isolated showers, mostly south and east of the Seward Peninsula
  through Saturday. More numerous showers and areas of steady rain
  from McGrath to Ruby Saturday afternoon into the overnight.
- Showers lessen in coverage and move north through the Interior
  on Sunday and mostly dry out with the exception of a few showers
  on Monday.
- Temperatures cool into the low to mid 40s everywhere by Monday.
North Slope and Brooks Range..
- Fog, freezing drizzle and flurries expected through Saturday. A
  very light glaze of ice is possible, especially in the Northern
  Brooks Range.
- Flurries and areas of light snow develops along the Western
  Arctic Coast Sunday night as a front drops south.
- Temperatures will be in the low to mid 30s along the coast
  through Monday. Highs in the mid to upper 30s in the Northern
  Brooks Range today, dropping into the low 30s by Monday. Highs
  in the 50s for the Southern Brooks Range.
&&
.FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION...
The state of Alaska remains under the influence of broad troughing
aloft as we head into the weekend. This includes three separate
upper lows as of this afternoon. One is over the Gulf while the
other two are over the Bering and Beaufort respectively. As the
low over the Gulf weakens and departs eastward, it will send a
weakening front north and into the interior over the weekend. This
will bring scattered (mainly light) bouts of precipitation to the
Alaska Range and parts of the interior for Saturday and Sunday.
Meanwhile the Arctic low over the Beaufort will manage to keep
onshore flow going across the Arctic coastline resulting in
drizzle,fog, and light snow showers the next several days.
Early next week will see the Arctic low strengthen and send an
arctic front southward across the north slope and west coast
resulting in noticeably colder temperatures in these areas and
allowing for some of that arctic chill to seep into parts of the
interior as well. Meanwhile the Bering low will be taking up
residence in the Gulf to start next week and will send a stronger
warm front north over the Alaska Range. This will bring better
rain chances to much of the interior with higher elevations
seeing snowfall. The higher terrain of the White mountains may
well see a few inches of snow early next week while the Parks
highway through the Alaska Range could also be impacted as rain
changes over to snow down there as well.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
No concerns at this time.
&&
.EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7... (same as previous discussion)
High confidence in an arctic trough bringing light snow to the
North Slope and Brooks Range, along with colder temperatures on
Tuesday and Wednesday. Persistent onshore flow should keep chances
for rain and snow showers through the end of next week. The West
Coast should remain quiet but chilly as the arctic trough brings
colder temperatures with highs in the 40s. In the Central and
Eastern Interior, expect a cooler pattern as the arctic trough
drops south. Models are in good agreement that it will interact
with moisture from Gulf of Alaska, and this should bring a decent
chance for rain showers in the valleys and snow showers in the
higher terrain of the Interior/Alaska Range Tuesday and Wednesday.
Towards the end of the week, there is a hint of a much stronger
arctic trough approaching from the northwest. Depending on the
track of this low, it could bring much colder temperatures (20s
and 30s) to much of Northern Alaska along with the Interior`s
first real chance for snow. However, this is highly uncertain, the
trough could dig south in the Bering and whiff Northern Alaska, or
stay north over the Beaufort Sea, time will tell but this is
something being monitored.
Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None
&&
.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...None.
PK...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ804-852.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ806-811-854-856-857.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ807.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ810.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ815-861.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ816.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ817.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ850.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ853.
&&
$$
Laney

NWS AFG Office Area Forecast Discussion